Net Present Value
Turn future cash flows into one decision today
A project costs $10,000 today and returns $4,000 a year for three years. At an 8% cost of capital, is it worth doing - and by how much?
Every cash flow is worth less the later it arrives
A project is a stream of future cash flows bought with money spent today. Because a dollar next year is worth less than a dollar now, you cannot simply add the cash flows up. You discount each one back to today, then compare the total with what you paid.
Reading the formula
\(CF_{t}\) is the cash flow in period \(t\), \(r\) is the discount rate (the cost of capital), \(n\) is the project life, and \(CF_{0}\) is the up-front investment. Each future cash flow is divided by \((1+r)^{t}\), so cash further away is discounted more heavily.
Accept the project when \(NPV > 0\): the discounted cash flows more than repay the investment at the required return. Reject it when \(NPV < 0\). A zero NPV means the project earns exactly the cost of capital.
- Discount each cash flow: \(4000/1.08 = 3703.70\).
- \(4000/1.08^{2} = 4000/1.1664 = 3429.36\).
- \(4000/1.08^{3} = 4000/1.259712 = 3175.33\).
- Sum of present values: \(3703.70 + 3429.36 + 3175.33 = 10308.39\).
- NPV: \(10308.39 - 10000 = 308.39\).
💡 Hint
Check your understanding
- NPV discounts every future cash flow to today and subtracts the investment.
- NPV \(= \sum CF_{t}/(1+r)^{t} - CF_{0}\).
- Accept when NPV is positive; a higher discount rate lowers NPV.
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